Different River

”You can never step in the same river twice.” –Heraclitus

August 29, 2008

McCain-Palin will win

Filed under: — Different River @ 6:52 pm

OK, my first thought upon hearing that Gov. Sarah Palin was McCain’s choice was, “Great, now we can count on Alaska’ 3 electoral votes, which are always Republican anyway.”

Within 15 minutes, I was convinced that McCain is a genius and Palin is a brilliant choice. My first thought was wrong.

This is someone who resigned from her first appointed position in protest of corruption, then ran against, and unseated in a Republican primary, the governor who’d appointed her. Then, she defeated the Democratic former governor, and went on to clean (state)house.

Simultaneously, this make the ticket attractive to the conservatives who have always been lukewarm about McCain, while at the same time appealing to the people like “Debra“; the Hillary voters who are so annoyed they are defecting to McCain. Her record as governor — returning federal “porkbarrel” funds and fighting corruption — will appeal to fiscal conservatives and moderates.

Every “demographic” appeal Obama has — young, clean, change, outsider, etc. — she has better (except for not being Black). Every criticism one could make of Palin (e.g., lack of experience), Obama has even worse. In fact, the Obama camp is already starting to criticize her lack of “experience.” These criticisms will boomerang, since she has more experience than he does.

In fact, here’s the Obama campaign’s official response:

“Today, John McCain put the former mayor of a town of 9,000 with zero foreign policy experience a heartbeat away from the presidency,” Obama campaign spokesman Bill Burton said in a prepared statement.

Yeah, well: Obama has not only zero foreign policy experience (unless you count his attending a madrassa in Indonesia at ages 9), but zero executive experience, NOT EVEN being mayor of a town of 9,000 — and he conveniently “forgets” — and by implication, expects everyone to forget — that she’s also the current governor of a state of 670,000. How dumb do they think we are? Describing her as a “former mayor of a town of 9,000″ is like describing Obama as a “former law student.”

And Obama’s foreign policy ideas basically consist of negotiating with Iran over the order in which they will nuke Israeli cities.

I’ve been thinking for the last couple of months that it was looking like a McCain win. Last week, I started to think a McCain win was almost a sure thing. Now, I think it’s a lock and he’s just running up the score.

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